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While not nearly as significant as a few days ago, it looks like heavy rain and a flash flood threat will return to the Houston, TX area starting in a few hours, and continuing through afternoon. High-res models are suggesting a regeneration of convection/storms along outflow that is sagging south toward the Gulf Coast. There could be some training...
read moreA near stationary upper-level low will continue to spin over Colorado today, before drifting slowly toward the central Plains tomorrow, with more flash flood potential across parts of the southern Great Plains. The upper low then drops southeast toward the Lower Mississippi River Valley by Friday bringing with it the flood threat. While the rivers...
read moreSevere hail and tornado threat for Friday afternoon/evening has been upgraded across portions of the High Plains based on recent forecast model trends for more rapid moisture return, stronger low-level wind shear, and greater storm coverage, especially across the northern Texas Panhandle, western Oklahoma Panhandle, and southeast Colorado. An arc...
read moreSevere weather will be on the increase again on Friday and Saturday afternoon/evening, but this time across portions of the High Plains. An upper-level storm system will cut off as a massive ridge forms in the Polar Front Jet Stream across western North America, and slowly drift east across the southern Rocky Mountains toward the end of the week...
read moreLatest high-resolution forecast models have been trending toward an enhanced tornado threat near and especially just after sunset across extreme southwest Oklahoma. Storms will develop initially by late afternoon along the dry line in the eastern Texas Panhandle with large hail the main threat. Low-level wind shear should be initially weak throughout...
read moreA more widespread severe weather event is expected to unfold tomorrow (Monday) afternoon and evening across southeast Oklahoma, central/south Arkansas, extreme northeast Texas, possibly as far south as northern Louisiana, with much greater storm coverage as compared to Sunday in the southern Plains. Large hail is expected to be the main threat, with...
read moreThe Arctic Blast is well underway across the Great Lakes Region this Saturday morning with temperatures plunging into the 20s and even upper teens across Wisconsin and northern Michigan, with heavy snow and visibilities less than 1/4 mile reported at Milwaukee and Hayward, WI in the last hour. Thunder and lightning will be possible with the heavier...
read morePotentially significant and geographically expansive severe weather, tornado threat this afternoon/evening from the Lower Mississippi River Valley to as far north as the southern Great Lakes Region…
Since I have to hit the road ASAP here in eastern Arkansas for my target area of northern Mississippi for this afternoon, I’ll have to make this severe...
read moreA severe weather threat is quickly materializing across parts of central OK, northwest TX into southern KS as the air mass east of a sharp dry line continues to destabilize. I’m currently in southern OK ahead of the dry line and am already seeing breaks in the clouds behind the initial band of convection that produced a few severe thunderstorm warnings...
read moreAccording to the Glossary of the American Meteorological Society (AMS), the hodograph is defined mathematically as the locus of one end of a variable vector as the other end remains fixed. In meteorological terms, a hodograph represents the vertical distribution of the horizontal wind (AMS, 2016). Very generally, meteorologists, forecasters, and...
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